Win probabilities for every UFC bout, before the card.
A fitted model reads each matchup from the public fight record and publishes a timestamped probability for every bout. Rankings are rebuilt weekly from results alone: no media votes, no promotional bias.
Full card by email before every event. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.
- fighters ranked
- 847
- fighters ranked
- divisions
- 11
- divisions
- rebuild after every card
- Weekly
- rebuild after every card
- bouts called before the bell
- 274
- bouts called before the bell
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
- 02Merab DvalishvilivsPetr YanBantamweight · Title fight66%34%high
- 03Ramazan TemirovvsLone'er KavanaghFlyweightLocked
- 04Alexander VolkovvsRizvan KunievHeavyweightLocked
- 05Arnold AllenvsAaron PicoFeatherweightLocked
- 06Aaron PicovsLosene KeitaFeatherweightLocked
- 07Dominick ReyesvsAzamat MurzakanovLight HeavyweightLocked
- 08Nikita KrylovvsAbdul Rakhman YakhyaevLight HeavyweightLocked
- 09Abus MagomedovvsCam RowstonMiddleweightLocked
- 10Grant DawsonvsNurullo AlievLightweightLocked
- 11Asaf ChopurovvsColby ThicknesseBantamweightNo read
- 12Jacob MalkounvsAbubakar VagaevMiddleweightLocked
Objective rankings, rebuilt weekly
Pound-for-pound and every division, scored on results from the last 36 months.
Pound-for-Pound · Top 10
Cross-division rankings based on performance over the last 36 months
| Rank | Fighter | P4P score | Rating | 36M record | Last fight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Champion Welterweight | 93.7 | 2518 | 5-0-0 | Aug 15, 2026Active |
| 2 | Middleweight | 84.7 | 2354 | 4-1-0 | Jul 18, 2026Active |
| 3 | Bantamweight | 83.4 | 2293 | 5-1-0 | Dec 6, 2025Quiet |
| 4 | Featherweight | 82.8 | 2334 | 3-0-0 | Mar 21, 2026Quiet |
| 5 | Lightweight | 82.8 | 2352 | 3-1-0 | Jun 14, 2026Active |
| 6 | Heavyweight | 82.7 | 2284 | 5-2-0 | Jun 14, 2026Active |
| 7 | Champion Lightweight | 82.7 | 2358 | 3-1-0 | Jun 14, 2026Active |
| 8 | Lightweight | 82.0 | 2289 | 4-0-0 | Sep 19, 2026Active |
| 9 | Welterweight | 81.0 | 2213 | 7-1-0 | May 2, 2026Active |
| 10 | Middleweight | 80.7 | 2226 | 5-0-0 | Sep 6, 2025Layoff |
How the score works
I built this ranking system because I wanted something objective. No opinions, no media votes — just math.
Rolling window — recent performance matters most
Glicko rating with uncertainty, run over every UFC bout on record
Strength of schedule — who you beat matters
I'm building FightIndex.io solo because I was tired of biased UFC rankings. No team, no investors, no corporate agenda — just me and the data. Results are ingested after each card and rankings rebuild weekly.